Invest for Tomorrow is a publication of Heritage Capital, LLC; Paul Schatz, President.
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Are You the Millionaire Next Door?

Some thoughts stick with you for the long run. One such thought was expressed by an old-time financial adviser on the question of the best way to finance a child's education. "Focus on getting rich," he maintained. "I've never known a wealthy person yet who had trouble sending the kids to college."

Being wealthy solves a great many problems, from funding a college education to retirement income, affording long-term care and medical expenses and more. But what does it take to get rich? And is it possible for the average person?.

In 1996, two Ph.D.s, Thomas J. Stanley and William D. Danko, published a book on their studies titled, The Millionaire Next Door: The Surprising Secrets of America's Wealthy. Stanley and Danko conclude that becoming wealthy is very possible for moderate income individuals. .

The authors define the threshold level of being wealthy as having a net worth of $1 million or more. Based on this definition, in 1995 3.5 million (3.5%) of the 100 million households in America were considered wealthy. Of those households, roughly 95% had a net worth (assets less liabilities) of between $1 million and $10 million. This level of wealth can be attained in one generation, say Stanley and Danko, and it can be attained by many Americans.

Next Door

Self-made millionaires tend to have four key values - thrift, discipline, economic achievement, and financial independence. According to Stanley and Danko:

-- The wealthy do not necessarily accumulate their wealth from high salaries or high incomes. Instead, they are excellent at managing their assets.
-- The two main approaches used to accumulate their assets are budgeting and the "pay yourself" or set aside approach.
-- They save aggressively, investing on average 20% of their annual household income.
-- The wealthy are very proactive in their investment programs. They don’t leave the performance of their investments to chance.
-- The wealthy highly value education. Four out of five are college graduates and many hold advanced degrees.
-- Many of the wealthy haven’t been caught up in the American consumer lifestyle. They find more pleasure from owning substantial amounts of appreciable assets than from a high-consumption lifestyle.

Age and income naturally impact your net worth. But Stanley and Danko offer a simple formula for determining whether you are on track to becoming wealthy.

Multiply your age times your realized pretax annual household income from all sources except inheritances. Divide by ten. This, less any inherited wealth, is what your net worth should be.

What Stanley and Danko and other researchers into the pursuit of wealth have proved over and over is that becoming wealthy is more a matter of mindset than income levels. It starts with saving and continues with having your savings invested in ways that optimize growth over the long term. That may mean utilizing tax-advantaged investments to avoid having earnings eroded by taxes, looking for ways to control risk without unduly sacrificing return, taking full advantage of employer sponsored benefit programs and managing investment expenses. That's where we come in.

There's no better time to build your personal wealth than today. If you are not where you would like to be, let's take a look at your goals and what needs to be done to achieve them. Because being wealthy can make a lot of life's headaches less painful.

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Seven common denominators among those who successfully build wealth, according to Thomas J. Stanley and William D. Danko:

1. In general, millionaires are frugal, living well below their means. They're willing to pay for quality, but not for image..

2. They allocate their time, energy, and money efficiently, in ways conducive to building wealth. They begin earning and investing early in life and spend more time focused on financial decisions than purchasing luxury items, such as cars and clothes.

3. They believe that financial independence is more important than displaying high social status.

4. Most millionaires were not financially supported by their parents. 80% are first-generation affluent. Fewer than 20% inherited 10% or more of their wealth. More than half never received as much as $1 in inheritance.

5. Their adult children are economically self-sufficient.

6. They are proficient in targeting market opportunities.

7. 50% are self-employed, making their money largely in "dull-normal" industries.

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What Does it Take to Have $1 Million in Investments?

To have $1 million by retirement, all an individual needs to do is to invest $10,000 a year for 30 years and have it earn at least 8% compounded annually. That's assuming no fees or taxes erode your earnings each year.

Can't quite manage $10,000 annually? Consider investing $4,000 for the first five years and then increasing your investment to $8,000 annually the next five years, $12,000 for five years after than and so on, reaching $24,000 annually by year 26. By year 30 you will have invested $420,000 compared to $300,000 for the individual investing $10,000 per year, but your account balances will be relatively close.

Reaching $1 MillionEarn more or less and naturally your final result is going to vary. But what this illustration shows is that $1 million in investments is attainable for individuals with less financial resources but the dedication to stick with a plan of steady contributions.

Even if you don't have a 30-year time frame, steady investing combined with a carefully considered investment approach can build a substantial portfolio faster than you might think.

Remember this is a hypothetical example and there can be no guarantee that your account will achieve an 8% return each year. All investments have risk and can lose as well as make money. Past performance should not be considered indicative of future returns.

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More Money to Invest

Cutting back on gourmet coffees can help you save money but don't overlook savings on big ticket items: Here are a few ideas to help you have more money to invest.

1. Price it on-line.

Before you buy, shop on line to find what the price range is for the item you want. Then take a printout with the price you are willing to pay to the store or dealer. If you buy on line, make certain you know the shipping costs.

2. Wait a week.

Don't impulse buy a big dollar item. Before you purchase that new rug or sofa, go home and think about it. Prioritize how you want to spend your money.

3. Leave your checkbook or credit card at home.

Going car shopping? Leave your checkbook or credit card at home to give yourself an chance to get away from the sales person's pitch and think. It's too easy to be pressured into a bad deal. Get the facts, get out and get another estimate.

4. Ask for a better deal.

Who says you have to take the price you're quoted? Ask for a better deal, or what discounts might be available to you based on memberships. Find out if there are any upcoming sales.

5. Consider booking direct.

You might want to start your search for flights or accommodations with a travel site, but before you book, check with the airline or hotel directly. You may find cheaper prices and more choices.

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The Bright Side of Volatility

Which would you consider the healthier financial market environment? One in which stock values steadily increase over time, or a market subject to fits and starts with periods of price increases interrupted by corrections?.

The first example may be easier to live with, but the second - the market filled with greater volatility - is actually the healthier environment for investors. .

Stability has one major disadvantage. The longer a condition exists, the more people expect it to continue.

Complacency is an investor's greatest enemy. When we start thinking we know what the future will bring, it inevitably leads to riskier behavior, which can drive values higher over the short term, but, historically results in a more severe correction.

The housing market is a prime example. By 2002, housing prices had been on the rise for more than a decade and were posting double digit returns in many U.S. cities. Burned by the financial markets, individuals turned to housing as a "can't lose" investment.

Since everyone knew home values were only going to increase, creative mortgage products -- from no or minimal down payments and interest-only loans to adjustable-rate mortgages carrying starter rates as low as 1% -- became common.

Even individuals who might not consider themselves housing speculators took part in the housing boom through refinancing and withdrawing equity from their homes. Financial instability, points out Nobel Laureate economist Hyman Minsky, is created by mounting indebtedness building up through time. Complacency equals riskier behavior.

Today, this build up in housing-based debt and the use of speculative financing tools are blamed for a large part of the explosion in foreclosures. The housing markets hardest hit are those that experienced the greatest gains.

The dangers of complacency are even greater in the financial markets. At the start of 2000, internet stocks were the place to be. These were the investments with the greatest long term potential, the stocks that were changing the world. Hindsight tells us otherwise.

Nasdaq Composite Index - Weekly Prices

Plot of NASD over 10 years
The Nasdaq Composite is a market-value weighted index of all common stocks listed on Nasdaq Exchange. Investors cannot trade an index directly. The above graphic does not take into account trading costs or fees that would be incurred to invest in a representative basket of stocks. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

The Nasdaq Composite's tremendous build-up in 1999 has become a case study for why market bubbles happen and how much people want to believe that the recent past will continue on indefinitely. There was no shortage of forecasts at the start of 2000 that proclaimed this a new era for the markets, that the old rules no longer applied.

What history proves again and again is that avalanches happen. Stress tends to build up in markets as investors become complacent and take on more risk. Values can continue upward longer than might seem rational in another time. And ultimately, markets correct.

Much like a volcano, small shocks over time can lower pressure along growing fault lines, moderating or postponing more severe reactions. But perhaps their greatest value is that of a reality check. They are a reminder that bad markets can happen to good people and that risk is always an element of investing.

Our job as advisers is to help clients avoid complacency, to remind them of the risks and to manage their assets with the recognition that we don't know what tomorrow will bring. Investment strategies need to be flexible, to look for opportunities in trends and cycles, but to also recognize that there has to be a plan in place to limit losses should the markets turn against us. Complacency may be a lot easier to live with, but paranoia has its place in any investment approach.

Anatomy of a Bubble

The following stages of a market bubble and collapse are from "Can It Happen Again?" written in 1982 by Nobel Laureate Hyman Minsky.

Stage 1: The shock wave - A disturbance alters the current economic status quo, putting the spotlight on an asset class.

Stage 2: Acceleration - Fuel gets the fire going, starting the boom.

Stage 3: Euphoria - The latecomers rush in while the insiders start stepping out.

Stage 4: Financial distress - Fear sets in, and the latecomers begin to sell.

Stage 5: The market reverses, and the boom turns into a bust - Prices begin to drop, money tightens up and losses start to accelerate.

Stage 6: Panic - The boom is officially a bust. Professional investors start to get interested again

Stage 7: The White Knight rides in - This occurs when the bust really explodes and the government steps in. While well-intended, the results of the knight's actions are not always the best solution to the problem.

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Famous Market Bubbles

1634 -1637 - Tulipomania
1711 - 1720 - South Sea Bubble
1717-1721 - Mississippi Scheme
1840s - Railway Mania
1920s - U.S. Roaring Twenties Market
1970s - Nifty Fifties
1980s - Biotech stocks
Late 1980s - Japanese stocks
1987 - Taiwanese stocks
Late 1990s - Internet Stocks

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A New File for Estate Planning

Do you access account balances and make transactions on line? Perhaps you have a positive balance in your PayPal account or have set up automatic deposit or payment plans online for subscriptions and other on-going expenses. You probably have your own login and password to access personal files on your personal computer.

login screenWhat you may not have considered is what happens with login accounts, should you die or become mentally incapacitated. Will your login information and password be lost with you? Will your survivors be able to access information and documents kept on hard drives or in on-line accounts? Will they be able to stop auto-shipments or cancel on-line subscriptions? Will your executor need a court order to access the information, provided the individual even knows where your accounts are?

Keeping track of assets in the electronic age means adding another file to your estate planning process. A file that provides the information needed to access password protected sites, accounts and information

. Each member of your household should keep a spreadsheet with Institution Name, Website, Account Number, User Name, Password for any financially related sites as well as personal login information for your computers.

. This spreadsheet must be updated WHENEVER a change is made to an account, including new passwords, or accounts are added.

. Save the spreadsheet to a removable media format (CD, DVD-R, USB Flash-Drive, etc).

. Place the removable media format in a safe location that your spouse, power of attorney, key adult child(ren) and attorney are aware of (safe deposit box, fireproof vault, drawer in the house where the important stuff is).

. If putting all this in a safe place and telling key people of it concerns you because those people might have access to your accounts before something happens to you, you need to rethink the key people.

This record-keeping should apply both to personal and business accounts.

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Faulty Logic

21% of adults surveyed said a lottery would be the most practical strategy for accumulating several hundred thousand dollars, according to a recent survey of about 1,000 Americans by Opinion Research Corporation.

The likelihood of this "practical" strategy failing is 99.99997394%. Buy tickets for 50 successive lotteries and you are 99.998697% likely to lose. That fails to meet even the most liberal definitions of "practical."

Lotteries are voluntary taxes, not a means of achieving financial security. Those who do win find the money brings with it a host of woes, first and foremost of which is that others don't believe the individual(s) deserved to win, much less deserve to keep the money when others less fortunate could use it.

The real key to accumulating several hundred thousand dollars starts with investing funds you've chosen not to spend.

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Has Your Life Changed?

Just as markets change, so do the lives of our clients. Which is why we try to ask you at least once a year if there have been changes in your life that might necessitate a change in how your assets are invested. This might be good news, such as a new family member, a new job, a move or even an inheritance. Or it may be an event from the other side of life, such as a family illness or death, the loss of a job, or losses from investments outside our control.

Sometimes, it doesn't occur to clients that these changes may also impact the investments we manage. If we haven't had a chance to catch up on changes in your life, please give the office a call and let's schedule a meeting. This can be an excellent time to review progress in your account and where you would like to be in the next few years.

Naturally, we are always interested in receiving additional funds to manage and welcome any referrals you might have of family members, friends or associates who might benefit from our services. Take a moment now to call and let's talk!

 
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